2016
I saw a graphic on TV this morning that said “Ryan front runner
for 2016.”
Can I say “Puh-leaze!” on two levels?
1 – do we have to start now? Can’t we all just breathe easy
for a bit?
2 – this is more complicated but bottom line when the
pundits and pollsters are all finished crunching numbers for yesterday’s votes,
I think they will find this:
Ryan may not have hurt Romney but it likely didn’t really
help him. It helped him shore up the conservative vote that might have been
squishy early; those people who weren’t quite sure they could vote for a Mormon or
who worried about Romney’s flip-flopping on some issues. But in the end he
should have gotten those votes anyway. They may not really like/trust/accept
Romney, but these folks are ultimately going to vote for the most conservative
person on the ballot.
But when you look at the red and blue areas on the map, I
doubt that Ryan helped in any of those so-called battleground states that
turned this election for Obama. Ryan couldn’t even deliver his home state of
Wisconsin. But then Romney couldn’t (deliver adopted home state) either.
I wrote a blog years ago saying that a certain young man
from Chicago was a name to know for the future. I think the GOP will finally
have its own changing of the guard after the dust settles on 2012.
Look for Latinos and women to take more prominent roles in the
party. The party needs them! That and a move toward the center is what it is going to take to win
back the Senate and the White House. More stringent tea-partiers are not what
the GOP needs to win more seats anywhere.
Both sides have their base. Like it or not, the next elections
will be won (or lost) mostly in the middle. Romney didn’t reach far enough.
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